Anne's latest blog details thoughts on what we can expect Al Qaeda to bring us in the New Year.
Author of Talking to Terrorists: Understanding the Psycho-Social Motivations of Militant Jihadi Terrorists, Mass Hostage Takers, Suicide Bombers & “Martyrs” Anne Speckhard, Ph.D. looks ahead for what may be coming our way…
With the demise of Osama bin Ladin and the killing of Al Qaeda’s top leadership as a result of the over one thousand declared and covert U.S. drone strikes in Yemen, Pakistan, Iraq, Somalia and Afghanistan carried out over the past five years,[1] the terrorist threat for the coming years has been severely degraded, leaving the question of what might motivate today’s militant jihadi (or AQ inspired) terrorist and if they can continue on with their top leadership decapitated?
In terms of terroristideologues and instigators these drone strike victories may not have accomplished as much damage as hope for. In fact for every “martyr” created by a drone strike, the words and teachings of most AQ ideologues lives on in semi-permanent form in the virtual university of jihad already existing on the Internet[2]. So although struck down—these “martyrs” will unfortunately carry on—continuing to incite acts of hatred and teach methods of carrying out terrorist operations for years to come.
Likewise as AQ found its leadership caught in the noose of unremitting military attacks and its safe havens closing in upon them, the AQ propaganda machine started in recent years to churn out calls for “homegrown” and “lone wolf” terrorist attacks. Using pictures of U.S. military “collateral damage” from drone and other military strikes they targeted their call to Western and U.S. Muslims in particular, inciting them to rise up against so called U.S. infamy—taking a gun or any other weapon to make attacks inside the homeland. Given this call we must remain vigilant for more “lone wolf” attacks here in the U.S., keeping in mind that when it comes to the militant jihad there is really no lone actor. Most have had some interaction with an ideology and group that is operating—even at a distance—goading the individual on, convincing him of the ideology and helping him to self-equip for his mission
While remaining alert for “lone wolf” attacks, here and abroad, particularly those aimed at U.S. military bases and soldiers—such as the one carried out by Major Nidal Hassan inside his military base or others such as drive by shootings at recruiting stations etc. we should also be aware of new methods and targets. Assassinations may also increase, and diplomats—as we saw in the case of the murder of the honorable U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens in Libya—are also not immune. In fact the New Year opened with Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) offering a bounty of one hundred and sixty thousand dollars in gold for their U.S. Ambassador’s assassination[3].
It remains to be seen if militant jihadi terrorist groups will continue to focus on taking down airliners and blowing up large symbolic targets or if they will become more creative, going after equally crippling—but less dramatic targets—such as taking down electrical grids which could potentially cause massive disruptions and deaths (in hospital, on transit, etc.). And cyber attacks—which may require a state sponsor (one can easily imagine Iran in that role)—may also in the end be far more devastating than attacking an airliner, but may not have the same fiery war-like action that draws many of today’s terrorists. Likewise, for all our airport security, if the terrorists shift their focus to numbers killed versus the sensationalism of downing an aircraft, they may find it much easier to detonate a bomb in the crowds of people waiting to pass through security than to attempt to smuggle one through the screeners.
The Arab Spring, while opening up democratic aspirations for many has also left a vacuum of frustrated and unfulfilled hopes among millions of Arabs for a better life. Who will ultimately emerge and where they will lead is still an open question. Israel enters the New Year in an uncertain position waiting to see how the conflicts in Syria, the potential threats from Iran and the political changes in Egypt will play out and what new allegiances will emerge. A recent announcement from a Muslim Brotherhood leader in Egypt stating that he does not expect Israel to exist in the coming ten years is not a good sign of things to come.[4] And Israel, as always, must also walk a tight rope between balancing security and human rights concerns. Any action it takes in response to threats from Palestinians or from any of its neighbors will likely act as a lightening rod in the region and potentially well beyond it. And as the U.S. shifts its military presence from Afghanistan, more global focus from militant jihadi ideologues will also likely shift back to the Palestinian/Israeli conflict.
The continued use of U.S. drone attacks to decapitate terrorist leadership in Yemen, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Somalia, etc. will also likely continue to fuel the militant jihadi practice of identifying with the secondary victims of such attacks and this will likely offset any positive boost we might have seen in countering militant jihadi propaganda from a U.S. drawdown in Afghanistan. The current conflicts in Yemen, Mali and Syria leave openings for Al Qaeda inspired groups to flourish and to continue to showcase their fights against what they claim are non-true Islamic regimes while they also potentially create havens for terrorist cadres. Swift and strong foreign policy actions to keep societies from disintegrating in conflicted areas can help to reduce terrorist threats in the coming year, although anywhere we place troops also has the potential for radicalizing effects if things do not go smoothly.
Militant jihadi groups often use graphic films and pictures from conflict zones for recruitment purposes and terrorist recruiters are adept at creating identification with victims, naming them “Muslim brothers and sisters” (i.e. fictive kin) while reminding potential recruits who may live far from the conflicts of their duty to join the global jihad in the defense of the downtrodden. By these means, militant jihadi recruiters manipulate vulnerable young Muslims in nonconflict zones to believe that there is a global cosmic battle they must join, that it calls for extraordinary means and is worth sacrificing one’s life for.
The EuroZone crisis is also important to watch, as it increases pressure on European Muslim immigrant communities already challenged with discrimination and marginalization. A growing group of well-educated Muslim second-generation immigrants potentially face long-term unemployment as their parents also face economic challenges. This combined with the growth of far right groups demanding tighter immigration policies and ratcheting up societal tensions and a general feeling of hopelessness could create a substantial pool of disenfranchised, alienated and vulnerable individuals susceptible to terrorist recruiters. Branching into some of these new areas such as cyber attacks—particularly if there is state sponsorship—may be a draw for highly educated unemployed marginalized youth who may be encouraged to find a positive identity in outsmarting the West. Shock austerity programs in the Euro Zone, while providing the answer for some, may increase vulnerabilities for others.
Continued vigilance is called for and well thought out and well-informed policies that keep in mind all four levels of the terrorist cocktail – the political grievances and aims of the groups, their social support, their ideologies and the individual vulnerabilities of those who answer their call—will be important for keeping us safe in the coming year.
[1] Woods, C., & Ross, A. K. (December 4, 2012). Revealed: US and Britain launched 1,200 drone strikes in recent wars. Retrieved from http://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/2012/12/04/revealed-us-and-britain-launched-1200-drone-strikes-in-recent-wars/
[2] Paz, R. (2011). Reading their Lips: The Credibility of Militant Jihadi Websites as "Soft Power" in the War of the Minds. In A. C. Speckhard (Eds.), RTO Technical Report (Vol. Psychosocial, Organizational and Cultural Aspects of Terrorism, Available from http://ftp.rta.nato.int/public//PubFullText/RTO/TR/RTO-TR-HFM-140///TR-HFM-140-06.pdf
[3] Associated Press. (December 30, 2012). AQAP offers bounty on U.S. Ambassador in Yemen. Retrieved from http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/12/aqap_offers_bounty_on_us_ambassador_in_yemen.html
[4] Jihad Watch. (2012). Egypt: Deputy chief of Muslim Brotherhood's political party and adviser to President says Israel will cease to exist within ten years. Retrieved from http://www.jihadwatch.org/2013/01/egypt-deputy-chief-of-muslim-brotherhoods-political-party-and-adviser-to-president-says-israel-will.html
Posted at 02:36 PM in Current Affairs, Violence | Permalink | Comments (15) | TrackBack (1)
Continuing on with a series of parallels, today's blog suggests a possible Y Chromoome connection when talking about incidents like the recent Sandy Hook Elementary School shootings. Adam Lanza was a male, age 20. Is there a link here? Why do all mass shooters seem to be males? Anne Speckhard gives us her insight in today's guest blog:
Recently on CNN a Dr. James Fallon showed the brain scans of psychopaths explaining that the amygdala, orbital cortex and other brain areas of psychopaths are not showing as much activity as in so-called “normals”. Dr. Fallon went on to explain that genetic combinations known to be associated with aggressiveness may be dangerous if combined with brains that operate in this manner, but then surprisingly admitted that one of the scans we were looking at was of his own brain and that he also has the “bad genes” for aggression. But Dr. Fallon is hardly a psychopath, (AP Photo/LM Otero) and he is not telling us that a predisposition to violence is genetically predetermined—only that psychopathic brains do operate differently (according to brain scans) but others who have similar “different” operating systems are not necessarily criminal psychopaths. According to Dr. Fallon, it takes a third ingredient—childhood abuse—to bring the whole thing together.
The other day, I received a blog post from a respected writer, Cara Hoffman, claiming that nearly all those who rape, carry out mass shootings and domestic assault against women carry a Y chromosome (http://www.carahoffman.com/blog.htm?post=888921) And Cara reminds us that looking into the psyches of violent males is a much-needed exercise if we want to put an end to such violence.
So is it a combination of bad genes and dangerous chromosomes that creates a foundation for mass shooters?
Cara’s comments made me reflect on the fact that in my past ten years studying and interviewing terrorists, and now in observing the latest investigative news as it unfolds on the Sandy Hook Elementary school shootings, I have never come across a female active shooter, the word experts in my profession use to label the person who goes on a shooting rampage with the intent to suicide or be killed in “death by cop”.
However, females do engage in terrorism. They strap on bombs and go into crowded marketplaces, theaters, restaurants and nightclubs to explode themselves. They also hijack planes, use rifles to shoot their enemies and place bombs for later detonation after they’ve slipped away, as well as engage in all the other roles of terrorism support, such as acting as couriers, fundraisers, propagandists and the like. But unlike many of the male suicide terrorists I’ve studied—particularly male Palestinians—who frequently pick up guns to go on a killing spree during which they intend to be killed, I’ve never come across a case of a female being an active shooter. When it comes to the school shooters here in the U.S. and abroad, none, to my knowledge, have been women.
Why is that?
Is active shooting—mass killing with a gun—just a male thing? And what makes a young man pick up a semi-automatic rifle and go on a shooting spree?
Terrorists are equipped by a group with a political goal, who have engaged and convinced him of a violent activity either through the bonds of brotherhood, ideology, or by playing upon any combination of his emotions relating to discrimination, marginalization, frustrated aspirations, humiliation, bereavement, traumatization – often from living in, or being shown extremely disturbing events from a conflict zone, and desire for revenge. He’s become a believer that political violence is the way to address his or other’s grievances. With a sending group whose ideology justifies killing civilians and some social support—either within the group itself or even more powerful, surrounding it, active shooting is glorified and allows him to make a violent choice.
Psychache, the term coined by suicidologist Edwin Shneidman who studied normal suicide, is the overwhelming psychic pain that propels normal people into seeking suicide as an escape. And I found the same extreme anguish in terrorists who suicide in the name of their group. From the group’s perspective, his psychic pain makes him a useful weapon to expend on behalf of their political cause. If he’s following the militant jihadi ideology, his group has convinced him that paradise is just a bullet away.
But what about the active shooter who acts alone and has no group, ideology or social support for his actions? Not living in a conflict zone, he can’t claim he’s razing down innocent children in revenge for the death of his own, that his home or resources have been taken from him, that he lives under occupation, or that he’s fighting for freedom by, as he may claim, the only means he has: attacking civilians. He is not suffering from active posttraumatic stress disorder, in which he experiences full sensory flashbacks of violent episodes that leave him in gut-wrenching agony, his heart aching with survivor’s guilt over having made it when others did not, his nerves frayed to their core with the constant coursing of neurotransmitters screaming out their painful message of high alert. He’s not in a war zone; he doesn’t have PTSD.
Or does he?
So easily in our culture, we forget that a lot of our children living right here in the U.S. grow up in active conflict zones. It’s just not a declared war. Instead it’s a tough neighborhood or maybe the carried memories of war far away, for refugees. Even many affluent homes are conflict zones to those trapped inside. Many homes, schools, churches, shopping malls. and neighborhoods are not the safe havens we wish them to be, but places where nice young boys get preyed upon by molesters, rapists and others who leave their young victim with a silent but throbbing scar on his soul. And if the child already has a genetic predisposition or an innate inability to process difficult emotions being victimized can leave him extremely vulnerable to acting out aggression. As Dr. Fallon warned—the perfect storm begins brewing.
And boys are taught from early on to be silent about their bad experiences. Just this year one grown man I was working alongside suddenly blurted out to me that he’d been raped in the men’s room as a young boy. I was amazed at his courage to tell and asked him how long he’d carried it as a secret. How many men carry such a deep secret buried inside?
When we are wondering if it’s something about chromosomes or bad genes, let’s not forget to wonder what does watching a father hit his mother do to a young boy trying to grow into manhood? It is totally emasculating and confusing; he doesn’t know who to identify with: his strong father who is beating the crap out of his mother or his mother who he wishes to save at an age when he finds he is as powerless as her in the face of his father’s violence. Ultimately, the victims of domestic violence, assault and molestation suffer the same symptoms as someone coming from a war zone: constant painful flashbacks, painful bodily arousal, guilt, anger, shame—all forms of devastating and psychologically overwhelming psychic pain. We underestimate how many young boys are raped and how many grow up in violent neighborhoods and homes. And guess what? Certain brain areas in traumatized people don’t light up on brain scans the same way they do in normals. So is it bad genes, deficient chromosomes or the experiences of young men in our society that is the problem? Or the combination of all three?
When a young boy is carrying traumatic experiences on his soul, what is he to do with it? The anger boiling inside, the shame seeping into every crevice of his cells, the complete powerlessness to address it because “boys aren’t supposed to cry” and men don’t get raped or assaulted, and the message that you must be powerful and act like a man, are too strong to override to find help.
And after blocking any normal expression of trauma or grief for those who have been wounded, what do we model to our young men about solving problems? There’s the video game that trains him for steady dopamine hits, doling out the pleasure neurotransmitter every time he “lights someone up”. And we know that when dopamine is engaged to internally medicate painful experiences, there’s no end to the addictive need, causing the brain to require more intense hits of the same experience to give the same level of dopamine high. We know many of our youth are hooked on violent computer games. And then there’s the movies and television shows that glorify the violent gun-toting hero who solves all his problems and expresses all his emotions with a gun. Most boys who watch violent movies and play these games don’t ever act out on these models, and most who are abused keep the abuse sealed painfully inside—but the rare one that snaps—given the ready availability of assault weapons in this country—cause unbelievable carnage.
Girls who grow up with violence don’t have these models. They are allowed to cry and to ask for help. And we know from research looking at young girls’ responses to trauma compared to boys, that girls are much more likely to dissociate whereas boys are more likely to act out. The latest active shooter we are being told already suffered from a mental disorder – Asperger Syndrome – that alone should not have led to violence. However we are also being told he emerged from playing video games, to smash his hard drive up before he shot his divorced mother and going on his killing rampage. For me there’s a possible message in that—and it’s not about bad genes or the Y chromosome.
Anne Speckhard, Ph.D. is an Adjunct Associate Professor of Psychiatr at Georgetown University Medical School. She is the author of Talking to Terrorists: Understanding the Psycho-Social Motivations of Militant Jihadi Terrorists, Mass Hostage Takers, Suicide Bombers & “Martyrs”. Her book can be found on Amazon.
For more information Anne please see her website: www.AnneSpeckhard.com
Posted at 02:06 PM | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
Given the recent Sandy Hooks Elementary School shootings, I wondered about the differences and parallels between mentally disturbed individuals (clear mental health issues) vs. serial killers (brain trauma and/or abuse) vs. terrorists (like suicide bombers). I am particularly interested in the call for gun control, in this case and cases that are similar in nature. I am not convinced this is (AP Photo/Jessica Hill) gun control issue. Maybe Adam would not have killed had he not had immediate access to guns, but would that have deterred him completely or would the thing that snapped inside him act out in other horrific ways? Read Anne's blog post below - I look forward to your comments.
What Makes an Adam Lanza?
Adam Lanza was not a terrorist in the strict definition of the word: he had no political cause, but he terrorized a community and a nation and committed a heinous crime, reminding many of the Beslan School hostage-taking in which three hundred and thirty innocents were killed.
I've been studying terrorism for ten years–interviewing terrorists, their family members and close associates, and their hostages – including those held in Beslan – and I find there are a lot of parallels between terrorism and mass shooting sprees. For one, terrorists are made, not born. The same is true for mass shooters.
In the case of terrorism, I found that there is a "lethal cocktail" of terrorism that takes vulnerable individuals and moves them along the terrorist trajectory to enact violence. A vulnerable terrorist recruit rarely acts alone; they need a group, an ideology and social support to propel them into violence. The group equips them, the ideology justifies violently killing civilians and social support makes it more attractive to engage. The individual acts out of his own pain, which resonates with the other three ingredients.
Mass shooters, as opposed to terrorists, often do act alone, but let us not deceive ourselves that they are in fact lone actors. Just like terrorists, there is a group that equips them—it's the local gun store, gun fair, a friend or family member, or any place where they can quickly and easily obtain means to kill– once they have crossed the mental line where killing others becomes acceptable. And the ideology and social support that justifies mass shootings here in the U.S.–in the demented minds of those who carry them out–is the cultural milieu of violent movies, computer games, even family and cultural socialization that models for troubled young men to refrain from expressing their emotions and asking for help ("big boys don't cry") and glorifies using gun violence as a means to express pain and solve problems. (See the latest action movie, television show or computer game where the hero shoots his way into the arms of the loving girl). Social support also exists in the instant and overwhelming media attention that mass shooters are guaranteed to get by expressing their painful outrage, despair, or whatever other sick idea they wish to get across through murder.Like terrorists, mass shooters are vulnerable individuals and usually highly troubled. A young man does not pick up a semi-automatic rifle and go into a school, workplace or public gathering and shoot as many people as possible for no reason. In the case of shooting school-age children, the perpetrator may highly identify with the age of his victims, symbolically killing himself at the age when he suffered sexual abuse or some other violence or humiliation which he has never gotten help with, doesn’t know how to get over, and is now expressing his outrage in killing others. Again we see emotions acted out–versus spoken and worked through –and violence used to try to wipe away pain. Or he may just be mentally ill and unable to contain or work through upsetting emotions and the gun provides him an outlet.
Terrorist groups know that when a vulnerable individual is in overwhelming psychic pain it is often not hard to attract him into a suicide mission – he wants to express that pain, will act in behalf of the group and seeks to exit out of this life as what he believes is a "hero" by following the militant jihadi ideology that promises instant access to paradise.
In the case of mass shooting incidents, the lone perpetrators are often not following any terrorist ideology and don’t believe their act will take them instantly to paradise, but they are in deep psychic pain. Their emotional pain is so overwhelming that they want to express their outrage and despair publicly unleashing a bloodbath that can only result in their death even if they don’t suicide. They have so little help for dealing with their anguish that it overwhelms any reasonable judgment, and they see death as their only viable exit. They are in a state of what suicidiologist Edwin Shneidman called “psychache”, which is the biggest predictor of suicide. But these actors will not simply suicide. They will kill others as they exit life, which is why our first responders now need to know how to act fast to take the suicidal murderer down and hopefully lowering his potential number of victims before he kills himself or suicides in “death by cop”. In either case the terrorist or the lone shooter is aiming at suicide (the terrorist may be calling it “martyrdom”) and we need to understand that. His psychic pain is overwhelming and he will express it until he is killed or kills himself – if he is equipped to do so.
So how do we prevent the next Adam Lanza?
We can tackle the problem from any number of avenues. The fact that in this country, vulnerable individuals have access to semi-automatic weapons at the time when their minds are filled with overwhelming pain and a desire to die—but not without first expressing their outrage, despair and emotional pain in a slaughter of others. The availability of guns makes certain that the "lethal cocktail" of mass shootings continues to exist and operate in our country. We have to come to grips with finding a balance between our freedoms and the need to protect our children and innocent civilians. And some element of that is likely going to have to be restriction of weapons that can commit carnage in seconds.
We have to do more to try to identify and intervene with troubled youth, giving help to young people who were abused, neglected or otherwise hurt and who are now searching for a way to resolve horrible inner pain without knowing where or how to get help. Truthfully this kind of psychological care is very costly, and at a time of fiscal challenges, it isn’t easy. But can we do any less when looking at the faces of the children we lost in Connecticut? We can and should provide good mental health interventions that identify and treat troubled youth – but will we? And will everyone that needs it, engage in accepting help? We can’t force troubled young people who have committed no crime into therapy.
We are also unlikely to do away with violent movies, television shows and computer games that model killing. But we do have to recognize that our entertainment media is contributing to a violent society and perhaps decreasing the empathy of children who grow up witnessing countless violent acts. We can and should limit more carefully what we let our children watch and play. And as consumers we should encourage the entertainment industry to create dramatic action films and games that are fun and engaging but do not glorify death and killing.
And there’s no escaping media that will cover every moment of any mass shooting. So there will always be a subsection of troubled young people who will want to pick up guns to act out their pain. And as long as there are guns easily accessible to them, some of those young people in overwhelming psychic pain will chose guns and mass shootings ending in suicide as their means of expressing outrage and their pathway out of agony.
We can give teachers guns, put a cop in every school and hope they stop the perpetrators before they shoot our children. And we can begin to identify, treat and intervene in the lives of abused, neglected and hurt young people to prevent them from becoming violent in the first place. But for those we miss and who fall through the cracks, we can ensure protection of the general population by creating strong controls on assault weapons. We can and must stop the next Adam Lanza.
Anne Speckhard, Ph.D. is an Adjunct Associate Professor of Psychiatry at Georgetown University Medical School. She is the Author of Talking to Terrorists: Understanding the Psycho-Social Motivations of Militant Jihadi Terrorists, Mass Hostage Takers, Suicide Bombers & “Martyrs” For more information and to read additioanl material authored by Anne, please visit her website at Anne Speckhard
Posted at 11:04 AM in Current Affairs | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
Posted at 10:59 AM | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBack (0)
Seeing sizable uptick in Global Avian and Swine flu cases.
Posted at 10:46 AM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
Surveillance for Avian Influenza in Birds
This training module is directed toward a variety of professions and backgrounds including but not limited to: wildlife professionals, government workers, researchers, veterinarians, students, international workers and other field professionals working in avian influenza surveillance programs.
The goal of this training module is to discuss the goals and methods of surveillance in poultry and wild bird populations for HPAI and LPAI viruses.
Upon successful completion of this module the learner will have:
Minnesota Board of Veterinary Medicine and Wildlife Society credit hours are available, as detailed when you enter the training module. In addition, a certificate of completion from MCEIRS can be obtained.
Approximately one hour
Register at: http://training.mceirs.umn.edu/training/register?targetUrl=/training/register-afs?targetUrl=/training/welcome/module/14;jsessionid=104c525a77bd3036405ba9cf4a26
Posted at 02:22 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
Timely webinar after today's earlier blog on the controversial H5N1 research bring made available. http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/forum/bird-flu-research.cfm
Posted at 05:45 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
In my mind there are two very distinct camps on this issue. The first camp is from the scientific community who in my opinion have yet to show a good argument for research outcome and publishing their results - my understanding is that by mutating the virus to spread ferret to ferret that it does nothing to help with the creation of a vaccine. The second camp are biothreat analysts like Dr. Michael Osterholm, CIDRAP, who cite concerns that include how a ferret's makeup is close to that of a human.
If you haven't heard about the Dutch and American research on H5N1 and Ferret to ferret transmission, see this article: Life Sciences at a Crossroads: Respiratory Transmissible H5N1 or Google Ferrets and H5N1.
My thoughts side on the side of the biothreat analyst. Here is what I know:
While I respect the scientific community, there is a need to keep some things unpublished. There is also a need not to do certain research given the risks. I believe that we are playing with fire and unfortunately the horse has left the barn on this. Even if the information was only partially released or not released at all, there is still the chance the information will get out. In fact, I can almost gurantee something of this magnitude will not stay in the dark for long given past history. For more details on why we should not publish these results see Biosecurity panel chief voices mixed reaction to WHO meeting.
In other news,the CDC reports that a new flu strain A(H3N2) has shown a potential for human-to-human transmission and could be the next Pandemic. According to the report, which was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the H3N2 strains "resemble viruses with pandemic potential." The CDC is currently working to find a viable vaccine since this season's flu vaccine does not work with this strain.
Posted at 01:23 PM | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)
Online Patient Communities Garner Interest at Social Media Week, Toronto (200 views)February 19, 2012 by Colleen Young
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